23 fa'asoa fa'asoa e mafai ona pasia lenei mata'i lelei atoatoa

E taugata oloa. Masalo na e faʻalogo i lena mea mo le tele o tausaga, ma e faʻavae i luga o faʻatusatusaga masani o tau-i-tupe maua e moni.

Afai e te teu faʻafaigaluega nei i se faʻamatalaga lautele, pei o le S&P 500
SPX,
-0.06%,
o loʻo e "faʻatau maualuga," a itiiti ifo e tusa ai ma lenei siata 20-tausaga, o loʻo faʻaalia ai le faʻatusatusaina o tau-i-tupe maua e faʻavae i luga o faʻatusatusaga o tupe maua i le 12-masina i le va o tagata suʻesuʻe na suʻesuʻeina e FactSet:


Mea faʻatatau

Ole fua fa'atatau ole tau-i-tupe maua mo le S&P 500 Index e 21.1, fa'atusatusa ile 20-tausaga averesi o le 15.72.

E fa'afefea la ona fa'ateleina lou avanoa e fa'atino lelei ai pe a alu i totonu i tau maualuluga?

Na faia e Mark Hulbert le mataupu mo tufatufaga lelei e avea o se vaega mo le aufaipisinisi e taulaʻi i ai, aua o le faʻatupulaia o tufatufaga ua faʻasolosolo faʻatasi ma le faʻatupulaia o tupe maua a kamupani i se taimi umi. I le 20 tausaga talu ai, o tufatufaga i luga o faʻasoa ua faʻatupulaia i le faaluaina o le saoasaoa o tupe maua i le sea, e tusa ai ma faʻamaumauga a Hulbert. Na ia faʻaaogaina le SPDR S&P Dividend ETF
SDY,
+ 1.19%
e fai ma fa'ata'ita'iga o se fa'asoa o fa'asoa a kamupani na fa'atupuina tufatufaga mo le itiiti ifo i le 20 tausaga fa'asolosolo.

Ae faapefea fa'asoa ta'itasi?

O tupe fefa'ataua'iga ma tupe fa'asoa atonu o le auala sili lea e teu fa'afaigaluega i kamupani e totogi tufatufaga. Ae o nisi tagata teu tupe e ono mananaʻo e umia sea o kamupani taʻitasi e maua ai tufatufaga matagofie poʻo latou latou te faʻamoemoe e faʻateleina a latou totogi i le tele o tausaga.

O se faʻamatalaga lea i le S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index
SP50DIV,
-0.08%
(lea o loʻo siakiina e le ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF
NOBL,
+ 1.08%
) e su'e ai kamupani e 12 sa sili ona lelei le tu'ufa'atasia o tufatufaga i le lima tausaga talu ai.

Ose fa'asoa fa'atauga lautele

O le mea o loʻo mulimuli mai o se faʻataʻitaʻiga mo le lelei o tufatufaga faʻasoa i vaega uma o le S&P 500 e faʻaaoga ai taʻiala na faʻamatalaina ia Me 2019 e Lewis Altfest, Pule Sili o Altfest Personal Wealth Management, lea e pulea le $1.7 piliona mo tagata tumaoti i Niu Ioka. 

Na fautuaina e le Altfest le aufaipisinisi ina ia aloese mai faʻasoa o loʻo i ai le maualuga o tufatufaga e maua mai i le taimi nei. "E masani lava o kamupani ia e vaivai le tuputupu aʻe ma e ono aʻafia i le tipiina o tufatufaga," o lana tala lea.

Na ia fautua mai e amata i oloa e maua ai tufatufaga e le itiiti ifo i le 3%, ma le "tuputupu aʻe o le 4% i le 5% i le tausaga i tupe maua ma tupe mama." Ona ia faʻaopoopoina lea o se isi mea: "E te manaʻo i faʻatauga lelei ma le faʻaititia - i se beta o le 1 poʻo lalo ifo."

O le Beta o se fua fa'atatau ole tau ole tau ile taimi. Mo lenei lau, o le beta e itiiti ifo i le 1 o loʻo faʻaalia ai le tau o se faʻatauga e laʻititi ifo nai lo le S&P 500 Index i le tausaga talu ai.

O le auala lenei na matou maua ai se lisi fou o tufatufaga lelei i totonu o le S&P 500:

  • Beta mo le 12 masina talu ai o le 1 pe itiiti, pe a faʻatusatusa i le tau o le faʻasologa atoa: 275 kamupani.

  • Tuuina atu o tufatufaga a itiiti ifo i le 3%: 57 kamupani.

  • Fa'ateleina fa'atauga a itiiti ifo i le 5% i le 12 masina talu ai: 32 kamupani.

  • Fa'atauga i le sea fa'asili a itiiti ifo i le 5% i le 12 masina talu ai: 24 kamupani. Na matou fa'aopoopoina lenei faamama aua e mafai ona fa'aitiitia sea a le kamupani i le tu'uina atu o sea e fa'atupe ai fa'atauga po'o le fa'aputuina o sea mo isi mafua'aga.

  • Ona matou misia lea o tupe maua ona o so'o se tupe maua a le kamupani mo le 12-masina e mafai ona fa'aseseina i mea e tasi taimi, suiga tau tupe po'o mea e leai ni tupe.

  • Na matou fa'apu'upu'u atili le lisi i kamupani e 23 na fa'ateleina a latou tufatufaga masani i le 12 masina talu ai.

O i latou ia na ausia tulaga uma, fa'avasega i tufatufaga e maua:

Company

Togi

Tupe maua fua

Fa'ateleina fa'atau

Fa'atauga i sea si'itia

Siisii ​​tufatufaga

Kinder Morgan Inc. Vasega P

KMI,
+ 1.41%
6.61%

38%

38%

3%

Williams Cos. Inc.

WMB,
+ 0.91%
6.19%

22%

22%

2%

Exxon Mobil Corp.

XOM,
+ 3.76%
5.54%

25%

25%

1%

Philip Morris International Inc.

PM,
+ 0.64%
5.22%

6%

6%

4%

Pinnacle West Capital Corp.

PNW,
-0.20%
4.87%

7%

6%

2%

Chevron Corp.

CVX,
+ 1.82%
4.49%

30%

26%

4%

AbbVie Inc.

ABBV,
-0.19%
4.16%

36%

23%

8%

Edison International

EIX,
-1.24%
4.15%

10%

7%

6%

Amcor PLC

AMCR,
+ 1.60%
4.04%

6%

9%

4%

Gilead Saienisi Inc.

GILD,
-0.51%
3.91%

20%

20%

4%

Southern Co.

TELE,
3.87%

13%

11%

3%

Entergy Corp.

ETR,
-0.11%
3.63%

13%

13%

6%

O le kamupani a Newmont Corp.

LEAI,
-0.90%
3.61%

11%

12%

38%

Kellogg Co.

K,
+ 0.97%
3.59%

5%

5%

2%

American Electric Power Co. Inc.

AEP,
+ 0.05%
3.52%

9%

8%

5%

Bristol-Myers Squibb Co.

BMY,
+ 0.40%
3.49%

15%

12%

10%

Evergy Inc.

EVRG,
-0.26%
3.36%

12%

12%

7%

Sempra Energy

SRE,
+ 1.80%
3.33%

13%

9%

5%

3M Co.

MMM,
+ 1.40%
3.33%

11%

11%

1%

Federal Realty Investment Trust

FRT,
+ 1.94%
3.13%

7%

5%

1%

Aufaigaluega a le Malo Group Inc.

PEG,
-0.26%
3.08%

10%

10%

4%

WEC Energy Group Inc.

WEC,
-0.25%
3.03%

11%

11%

15%

NRG Energy Inc.

NRG,
-0.79%
3.03%

141%

144%

8%

Punavai: FactSet

E mafai ona e kiliki fa'ailoga mo nisi fa'amatalaga e uiga i kamupani ta'itasi.

Ona faitau lea mo Tomi Kilgore auʻiliʻili taʻiala i le tamaoaiga o faʻamatalaga o loʻo avanoa mo le leai o se totogi ile MarketWatch quote page.

Aua le misia: O oloa e sili ona fiafia i ai le au su'esu'e Wall Street mo le 2022 e aofia ai Alaska Air, Caesars ma Lithia Motors

Faʻatasi: O nei faʻasoa e paʻu ifo i lalo ifo o le 20% mai le maualuga o le 2021, ae o le Wall Street o loʻo vaʻaia o latou mauaina e tusa ma le 87% i le 2022.

Saini loa: Mo le atamai i talafou uma o loʻo feaveaʻi maketi aʻo leʻi amataina le aso, faitau le imeli Manaʻomia le Iloa.

Punavai: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/23-dividend-stocks-that-can-pass-this-strict-quality-screen-11641304861?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo